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| Additional Physical Format: | Online version: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960- Black swan. New York : Random House Trade Paperbacks, ©2010 (OCoLC)1085908216 |
|---|---|
| Material Type: | Internet resource |
| Document Type: | Book, Internet Resource |
| All Authors / Contributors: |
Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
| ISBN: | 081297381X 9780812973815 |
| OCLC Number: | 213400968 |
| Notes: | "Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007"--Title page verso. |
| Description: | xxxiii, 444 pages : illustrations ; 21 cm |
| Contents: | Prologue -- Part 1: Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- Part 2: We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Part 3: Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- Part 4: The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue: Yevgenia's white swans -- Glossary -- Postscript essay: On robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. I. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; II. Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; III. Margaritas ante porcos ; IV. Asperger and the ontological black swan ; V. (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; VI. The fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; VII. What to do with the fourth quadrant ; VIII. Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; IX: Amor fati : how to become indestructible. |
| Responsibility: | Nassim Nicholas Taleb. |
Abstract:
Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
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